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Randolph's Median Home Price Depends on Which Website You Ask, and So Does Braintree's

August 27, 2026

A buyer comparing Randolph to Braintree or Stoughton this summer has probably already hit the first wall: the median home price for Randolph is not one number. It is five numbers, all published in 2025 or 2026, all claiming to describe the same town.

Zillow's Home Value Index put Randolph's typical home value at $518,306 as of its mid-2026 update, up 0.7 percent over the prior year. PropertyShark, working from actual recorded sales, logged a median of $525,000 for the first quarter of 2026, based on just 30 transactions, a count that had fallen 48.3 percent from the same period a year earlier. A separate market tracker pegged Randolph's median sale price at $560,000 in March 2026, up 4 percent year over year. By July 2026, Movoto had Randolph homes listed at a median of $619,000, running $352 per square foot with a typical 30 days on market. Redfin's most recent full read, covering November 2025, showed a median sale price of $633,000 on only 18 closed sales, up 18.8 percent from the prior year, with homes fielding an average of 8 offers and closing in 15 days.

Line those up and you get a spread of more than $115,000 for the same town in roughly the same year. That is not a rounding difference. It is a sign that the number itself is unstable, and understanding why matters more than memorizing any single figure.

Why the number won't sit still

Three things are happening at once. First, sample size. Randolph typically sees somewhere between 18 and 30 recorded home sales in a given quarter. When your entire dataset is that small, a single $1.2 million sale or a cluster of starter condos closing in the same month can swing the median by tens of thousands of dollars. Second, methodology. Some of these figures track list price, others track closed sale price, and those two things move differently in a market where homes are getting multiple offers. Third, property mix. A quarter heavy on single-family colonials will report differently than a quarter heavy on condo turnover, even if neither market actually moved.

None of this is unique to Randolph. Braintree, sitting right next door, shows the same instability at a larger scale. One June 2026 market summary put Braintree's median home price at $578,000. A separate page pulling from what appears to be the same underlying data source put it at $730,000, in the same month. Movoto had Braintree listings at a median of $679,000 in May 2026. Redfin's July 2025 read showed a median sale price of $725,000 on 23 closed transactions. NeighborhoodScout, working from a different quarterly cycle, cited $803,668. That is a spread approaching $230,000 for one town.

Ask five sites for a town's median home price and you will get five defensible answers, each correct on its own terms and misleading the moment you compare it to someone else's.

If you are cross-shopping Randolph against Braintree or Stoughton using a single median price pulled from whichever site loaded first, you are comparing noise to noise. That is the real finding here, and it changes how the comparison should actually be done.

The number that doesn't move around: property tax rate

Unlike median sale price, which resets every time a new batch of homes closes, a town's residential tax rate is set once a year by the town government and published. It is the same number for every taxpayer in that town for that fiscal year, which makes it a far more reliable axis for comparison than a median price that can shift by six figures depending on the source you happened to click.

Randolph's FY2025 residential tax rate, set by the Town Council, is $11.61 per $1,000 of assessed value. Braintree's FY2025 residential rate is $9.98 per $1,000. Stoughton's rate has run near the bottom of Norfolk County's range, at $7.89 per $1,000 the last time the county's rates were compared side by side, among the lowest in Norfolk County. For context on how wide that range can get statewide, Massachusetts' FY2026 tax rate data shows residential rates running from $2.18 per $1,000 in Hancock up to $20.35 in Westhampton, so a gap of a few dollars per thousand between neighboring towns is well within normal variation, but it still adds up.

Run the math on a $600,000 assessed home in each town. Randolph's rate produces an annual bill of about $6,966. Braintree's produces about $5,988. Stoughton's produces about $4,734. That is a difference of roughly $2,200 a year, or about $186 a month, between Randolph and Stoughton on identically assessed properties, money that has nothing to do with the sale price you negotiate and everything to do with which town's line you're standing on. A buyer stretching to close the gap between a $560,000 list price and a $620,000 preapproval should know that gap can widen or narrow by several hundred dollars a year depending on which of these three towns the address sits in.

Braintree's own home values tend to run higher than Randolph's regardless of which source you check, so a lower rate there does not automatically mean a lower total bill. It means the rate itself is a fairer variable to compare than the sale price, because it does not reshuffle every time a new home closes.

What the tax line doesn't capture

None of this means price and tax rate are the whole story. They are the part of the story that shows up on a spreadsheet. The part that doesn't shows up on Main Street.

Randolph's commuter rail access puts South Station roughly 35 minutes away, a real consideration for anyone weighing a longer commute against a lower purchase price. Blue Hills Reservation sits partly within town limits, with trails, a golf course, a ski area, and Ponkapoag Pond available for fishing and quiet paddling. Powers Farm adds walking paths and hosts a seasonal Main Street Marketplace, the kind of low-key community fixture that doesn't appear in any market report but shapes what a Saturday actually looks like.

The dining corridor tells a similar story about what a purchase price buys beyond square footage. La Scala Ristorante has served Italian and broader European cuisine from its spot on North Main Street for more than 30 years. A few blocks over, Emmaus Haitian Restaurant has built a following at 352 North Main Street. Earlier this year, Moon Bay opened on Route 139 between the town center and the Route 24 interchange, bringing Hunan dishes like handmade dumplings and chili pepper short rib to a space along that corridor. Santa Madre offers a modern take on Mexican cuisine elsewhere in town. Four different culinary traditions, all within a short drive of each other, none of them captured by a median price or a tax rate, all of them part of what a buyer is actually purchasing when they choose Randolph over a neighboring town.

What this means if you're comparing towns right now

Stop treating the first median price you find as the town's actual price. Pull the number from at least two sources and notice whether they agree within a reasonable range. If they don't, that gap is telling you the sample is thin, and thin samples deserve a phone call to someone tracking the specific streets and property types you care about, not another site refresh.

Then put the tax rate next to whatever price range you land on. A $30,000 difference in list price between two towns can be partly or fully offset by a tax rate difference over the years you plan to own the home. Neither number tells the whole story alone.

A few questions worth asking before you commit

Why do Randolph's home price figures vary so much between sites? Randolph's quarterly sales volume is small, often under 30 transactions, so a handful of unusually high or low sales can shift the median significantly. Different sites also track list price versus closed sale price, which diverge in a market where homes are fielding multiple offers.

Is Randolph actually cheaper to buy in than Braintree? On most of the figures gathered here, yes, Randolph's reported medians run below Braintree's. But Braintree's own numbers show similar volatility, so any specific dollar comparison should be verified against a current, address-level comparison rather than a single town-wide median.

Does the tax rate difference between Randolph, Braintree, and Stoughton really matter? Over a typical ownership period, yes. A few dollars per thousand in assessed value compounds every year you own the home, and unlike sale price, it's not something you negotiate at closing. It's worth factoring into a monthly budget the same way a mortgage rate is.

If you're trying to make sense of what a specific Randolph or Braintree property would actually cost you month to month, or you want a price opinion that accounts for the specific street and property type rather than a town-wide average, Kristen Gets It Sold can pull a comparison built on current, local data rather than whichever number your last search happened to surface. Get your free home valuation and start with numbers you can actually stand behind.

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